Carbon Credits Government Watch

PM Howard’s anti-carbon trading strategy revealed

2007-04-04T19:28:00.000-07:00

Economics commentator Ross Gittings has accused the PM of playing us for fools on global warming: “It's clear from John Howard's disillusioning behaviour last week that his attitude to global warming is utterly cynical, short-sighted and selfish. On the one hand he repudiated British economist Sir Nicholas Stern with the claim that serious emission reduction targets would ‘do great damage to the Australian economy’. On the other, his Environment Minister, Malcolm Turnbull, rolled out another low-pain scheme to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, this time by paying poor countries not to log their old-growth forests,” he wrote in the Sydney Morning Herald.

“The know-it-all Mr Turnbull further distinguished himself by dismissing the latest United Nations report on the shocking extent of possible economic damage from global warming as nothing new. If it's nothing new, how come the Howard Government's been taking climate change seriously only for the past six months?

“Make that pretending to take it seriously. It's now clear Mr Howard's motive in professing to be a late convert to the cause of greenhouse gas reduction is quite phoney. His overriding concern is no more than making sure he doesn't lose many votes over the issue.”

Gittings has detected the PM’s two-pronged strategy: 1. “a stream of worthy but piddling measures to create the appearance of action - fluorescent lamps one week, anti-logging funds the next.” 2. Attack the Opposition at every opportunity. Howard is politicising, trivialising and misrepresenting the issue. “ The political survival of John Howard comes first; the survival of the planet comes a poor second,” says Mr Gittins.

Mr Howard's claim that significant reductions in emissions could not be achieved without "doing great damage to the economy" is dangerous and wrong. Emission trading schemes minimise the economic cost of reductions. Besides, doing little to prevent climate change that would itself do untold economic damage.

Either Howard is still a closet climate-change denier, or he is claiming that the economic cost of action would be too high is short-sighted selfishness. “Why should I pay a price to ward off climate change? I'll be gone from politics long before the chickens come home to roost.”

Gittins reads the Riot Act: “You just can't put the economy in one box and the environment in another. The economy exists in the environment. So if we stuff the environment, we stuff the economy. It's the planet, stupid.”

“If Mr Howard really were a late convert to the need for global action to forestall climate change he'd ratify the Kyoto Protocol, even at this late stage. His refusal to contemplate such a move just underlines the suspicion that he's putting face-saving and vote-saving ahead of saving the planet.”

Exhibit 5: The Howard Conspiracy Against An Australian Soil Carbon Trading Market

2007-04-04T19:18:00.000-07:00

Economics commentator of the Sydney Morning Herald Ross gittins reveals why John Howard will never introduce a carbon trading scheme:

"If you think the cost of greenhouse gas abatement is high or uncertain, whereas the marginal benefit of abatement is small (because greenhouse gases are a stock that has built up over many years and one year's worth of abatement doesn't make much difference to the total stock), then you'd probably favour a carbon tax because that would give you control over the price and thus the economic cost you were incurring.

"Alternatively, if you accept that the cost to the economy of not achieving a significant reduction in emissions - such as Sir Nicholas's target of achieving a 60 per cent reduction in annual emissions by 2050 - would be unacceptably high, then you'd favour a carbon trading scheme because that would give you direct control over the quantity of emissions."

Bush's Global Warming position rejected by US Supreme Court

2007-04-04T18:16:00.000-07:00

On Monday, the U.S. Supreme Court finally smashed the Bush
Administration’s defences on global warming.

In a 5-4 vote, the Court decreed that carbon dioxide and other global warming emissions are "pollutants" under the Clean Air Act. The court ruled that the Environmental Protection Agency has the authority to start curbing those pollutants, which are wreaking havoc with our climate. It dismisses the Bush Administration's leading excuse for doing nothing about global warming: namely, that it has no power to control carbon pollution. The Supreme Court has now ordered the EPA to stop relying on illegal excuses and to start getting serious about the problem of global warming pollution from new cars, SUVs and trucks.

It also removes the major obstacle to measures in California and ten other states that would slash greenhouse gas emissions from car exhaust.

Fundamentally, the EPA has always had a constitutional duty to act on global warming and it has been subverted by the Bush Administration willing to defy the Consitution in order to protect the fossil fuel industry. Even the President's stacking of the Supreme Court with ideologically-selected judges, as has been done in this country, was not enough to save him.

How Bush Administration spiked Climate Science

2007-03-20T18:56:00.000-07:00

BREAKING NEWS Associated Press Monday March 19, 2007 10:01 PM

A White House official has admitted editing reports on global warming ``to align these communications with the administration's stated policy'' on climate change.

The House Government Reform Committee heard that the 181 changes made in three climate reports reflected a consistent attempt to emphasize the uncertainties surrounding the science of climate change and undercut the broad conclusions that man-made emissions are warming the earth.

Philip Cooney, an oil industry lobbyist appointed by President Bush as chief of staff at the White House Council on Environmental Quality, left the White House to work at Exxon Mobil Corp. when his activities were made public in 2005.

The House Government Reform Committee heard James Hansen, director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and one of the country's leading climate scientists, reveal that the White House repeatedly tried to control what government scientists said about climate change. ``Interference with communications of science to the public has been greater during the current administration than at any time in my career,'' he said. In 2005 he was told he could not take part in an interview with National Public Radio on orders from senior NASA public affairs officials. Instead, three other NASA officials were offered for the interview. The press officer who gave the instruction, George Deutsch, told the committee he had simply been ``relaying'' the views of higher-ups at NASA.

Rep. Darrell Issa, R-Calif., suggested that there is nothing wrong with government scientists being subject to some limits in what they say. ``You're speaking on federal paid time. Your employer happens to be the American taxpayer,'' Issa said. Hansen spoke for many when he retorted: ``It's not the American way. And it's not constitutional.''

Exhibit 4: The Howard Conspiracy Against An Australian Soil Carbon Market

2007-03-20T04:19:00.000-07:00

The headline reads "CSIRO axes outspoken expert" (Canbera Times, 20 March 2007)

Dr Maarten Stapper has been dumped by the CSIRO, amid allegations he was bullied by management for criticising GM crops. He was the only government scientist studying soil carbon and his departure brigns that to an end.

The Stapper incident is the latest in the politicisation of the CSIRO and government funded science by the Howard Government. It mirrors the Bush Government's manipulation of official science to serve its ideological goals.

The chief of CSIRO's Plant Industry division, Dr Jeremy Burdon, asked about further research on increasing carbon uptake of soils, Dr Burdon replied, "We won't be doing any more of that."

Dr Stapper was researching carbon loss in soils, restoring soil fertility by improving soil microbiology and use of biological farming methods to improve wheat yields.

Insiders reveal he was "carpeted" by management after he was overheard explaining criticisms of some aspects of GM crops while mingling with audience members after a public forum.

Dr Stapper worked as an agronomist in Canada, the US and Iraq before joining CSIRO as a principal research scientist. He developed new irrigation scheduling programs and methods of calculating nitrogen in the soil before switching his focus to soil biology and health.

Dr Stapper says working in irrigated wheat paddocks made him aware " most problems start with the soil, and
thus solutions should commence there". He argued that the use of "fertilisers, pesticides and other synthetic chemicals to
address problems in agricultural production has been leading to poor soil health and resistance in insects, diseases and weeds".

Dr Burdon confirmed that Dr Stapper was the only CSIRO scientist working on organic and biological farming systems and the research program would end when he left. He said CSIRO did not consider biological and organic farming to be "a long-term
viable strategy" and Dr Stapper's research was "not an area the division feels it can support any more". The CSIRO is in the pocket of Monsanto and the GM companies, with the consent of the Howard government.

Donate today! Support the work of the Carbon Coalition

2007-03-19T17:53:00.001-07:00

The work of the Carbon Coalition has been entirely voluntary for the past year. (SEE http://carboncoalitionoz.blogspot.com for out 12 month activity report.)

The Convenors have funded:

• lobbying,
• outreach,
• speaking engagements,
• website activity,
• blogging,
• research,
• overseas study tour,
• attending conferences to make contacts,
• appearing before official enquiries…

Please see the attached activity sheet. The time involved has grown to consume time previously devoted to income-producing activity. We can't go on this way. We need to professionalise the operation. Get serious or get out.

We believe the mission of the Coalition is too important to wind down at this important point.

We are on the point of creating the soil carbon market in Australia, We are enrolling landholders for trading. But the challenges we have coming up include:

1. Being fobbed off with Federal Government Stewardship Payments instead of carbon credits. These are a poor substitute for three reasons: i. it puts you in the hands of the public servants; ii. They could never be as lucrative; iii. They represent handouts, not payments for produce. We believe the Howard Government is implacably opposed to soil carbon credits. (Leopards don’t change their spots.)
2. Missing out on offsets when on-farm emissions are measured/estimated and landholders are required to buy credits to offset CO2, methane, nitrous oxide etc.
3. Put an end to the myth about Australian soils and carbon.
4. Force the hand of the regulators (IPART) by forming markets.
5. Promote the notion of Carbon Farming among business as usual growers.
6. Maintain pressure for Australia to join Kyoto.
7. Protect landholders from exploitation by unsympathetic middlemen and opportunists.
8. Teaching landholders about the carbon trading markets.

We need your help…

We need your help to achieve the goals of the Coalition:

• Making the family farm more economically viable
• Strengthening rural communities
• Restoring the ecological health of farmland
• Reducing the extremes of Climate Change

What we need resources for…

• Website development
• Membership database system
• Publicity
• Management
• Lobbying
• Research
• Conferences
• Subscriptions
• Travel/Acc

There is so much more we can do… getting Members involved in our activities is FIRST AND FOREMOST… but it takes time and time is always short when you’re short of money.

WHAT CAN YOU DO?

There are many ways you can help:

• You can send a cheque to the Carbon Coalition Against Global Warming C/- MB & AL Kiely, “Uamby”, Uamby Road, GOOLMA NSW 2852

• You will find a “Donate” button on the website (www.carboncoalition.com.au) and on the blogsites.

• You can buy Australian Farm Soil Credits from http://carbonfarmers.blogspot.com

• You can engage CarbonCreditedBrands by visiting http://carboncreditedhowto.blogspot.com

Your contribution is an investment in the greatest opportunity to solve the problems of declining land health, declining economic health, and declining personal health in agriculture.

Thank you for being part of this historic moment.

Michael, Louisa & Daniel Kiely
Convenors

PS. Please pass this email letter on to others you may know who would be interested.

NB. YOUR TAX DEDUCTION: While we cannot offer tax deductibility as a CHARITY, we can arrange a deduction for you by the following means: 1. You make your contribution. 2. The Coalition invoices you for CARBON ADVISORY SERVICES (which is a legitimate part of our activities) and your receipt can be used for deduction.

Exhibit 3: The Howard Conspiracy Against An Australian Carbon Market

2007-03-14T22:43:00.000-07:00

John Howard is a man of his word.

KEVIN RUDD: Does the Prime Minister recall his industry minister saying just six months ago: "I am a sceptic of the connection between emissions and climate change"? Does the Prime Minister support this statement?

Mr HOWARD: It is not only remarks made by people in this parliament. There is a farmer I know who is sceptical about that connection as well! But we can debate. Let me say to the Leader of the Opposition that the jury is still out on the degree of connection. - House of Representatives, 2.54pm 6.2.07

JOHN HOWARD: I was wrong to talk about climate change and drought when the question was about climate change and emissions. For the record, I do believe there is a connection between climate change and emissions. I do not really think the jury is out on that. - House of Representatives, 6.32pm, 6.2.07

"I made a mistake in the first day when I mistook a question about the link between global warming and greenhouse gases, climate change, sorry, and emissions, for a question between climate change and drought because that had been on everybody’s lips and okay, I made a mistake."- John Howard continuing on 3AW, 9.2.07

Exhibit 2: The Howard Conspiracy Against An Australian Carbon Market

2007-03-14T22:23:00.000-07:00

The Howard Government's overnight conversion to carbon markets and price signals was too rapid. It strained credulity. Is there another sneaky Howard three card trick is on the table? Clinging to power, the Government is reengineering its image and policies on climate change before the federal election this year.

But documents obtained quoted by the Sydney Morning Herald reveal the Government had no intention of setting up a domestic carbon trading scheme as recently as October 2006. A note by the Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet on October 17 said "a national emissions trading scheme, in the absence of similar action globally, would not be in the nation's interest".

Confidential briefing notes written for the Industry Minister, Ian Macfarlane, in September were even stronger in their opposition to carbon trading, casting doubt on the ability of trading schemes to reduce emissions. "Australia does not see the need to impose an economy-wide system on carbon trading," the notes said. Weeks later Mr Howard signalled a dramatic shift in the Government's policy by announcing an emissions trading taskforce to investigate Australian participation in a future global scheme. In a discussion paper made public this month the taskforce found a global scheme was still far off and suggested a national carbon trading scheme, adding there was no time for complacency.

Mr Howard said a national carbon trading scheme could be introduced if there was "reasonable anticipation" of action on a global scale. Mr Macfarlane, formerly an opponent of carbon trading, now says he has an open mind.

The documents show the Government was so worried about the impact of the September visit by the former US vice-president Al Gore to promote his climate change film, An Inconvenient Truth, as to draft detailed points to promote the Government's initiatives on global warming and defend it from any criticism.

Given Howard's track record, he doesn't compromise on what he believes, even to win public support. He only appears to.

Another Howard Crony Outs Himself as a sceptic

2007-03-14T22:04:00.000-07:00

In 2007 (March) Finance Minister, Nick Minchin, questioned the link between fossil fuels and greenhouse gas pollution.
He claimed, in a aletter to Clean Up Australia's Ian Kiernan, that "a number of eminent scientists remain in the 'sceptical' camp." Senator Minchin quotes columns written by the Canadian newspaper columnist Lawrence Solomon promoting the work of Danish scientist Henrik Svensmark whose research has proved to contain numerous calculation and methodological errors.
Senator Minchin also referred to a critique of the Stern report by retired James Cook University professor Bob Carter. 'Professor Carter, whose background is in marine geology, appears to have little, if any, standing in the Australian climate science community. He is on the research committee at the Institute of Public Affairs, a think tank that has received funding from oil and tobacco companies, and whose directors sit on the boards of companies in the fossil fuel sector,' says the Sydney Morning Herald.
A spokesman for Senator Minchin said: "The senator stands by his comments in that letter."
Professor Carter told the Herald yesterday the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change had uncovered no evidence the warming of the planet was caused by human activity. He said the role of peer review in scientific literature was overstressed, and whether or not a scientist had been funded by the fossil fuel industry was irrelevant to the validity of research.
"I don't think it is the point whether or not you are paid by the coal or petroleum industry," said Professor Carter. "I will address the evidence."
Ex-Professor Carter has not published anything on the topic through the peer review process.
Nick Minchin is not alone in Howard's Cabinet. Senator Ian MacFarlane is also a self-professed sceptic.

Howard Minister "I am a sceptic"

2007-03-14T22:01:00.000-07:00

The following conversation between Laurie Oakes and Commonwealth Industry Minister Ian McFarlane on Channel 9"'s Sunday program on 20/8/2006 led to this spectacular admission:

LAURIE OAKES: OK. Climate change, you are a climate change sceptic, aren't you?

IAN McFARLANE: Well I am a sceptic of the connection between emissions and climate change. No-one would deny that the world's climate is changing. We don't know exactly what the factors are that are driving that. There appears to be evidence connecting emissions to climate change. But whether or not that can be proved absolutely is not the issue. What we need to do, and everyone accepts that, and I am certainly dealing with that through my portfolio, we need to lower our emissions. I think the key issue is, though, Laurie, how do you do that? How do you actually achieve lower global emissions and we're very much committed to achieving that through low emissions technologies and a spread of energy sources? So the technical solution will in fact lower greenhouse gas emissions. As we have seen, Kyoto is failing to do that.

Exhibit 1: The Howard Conspiracy Against An Australian Carbon Market

2007-03-14T21:26:00.000-07:00

The following conversation between Channel 9"s Laurie Oakes on 20/8/2006 reveals the earliest expression of the Howard strategy to talk about markets while being sure they never eventuate. Laurie is talking to Industry Minister Ian McFarlane.

LAURIE OAKES: You and the Prime Minister dumped on the states for proposed a carbon trading system. As a result of your dumping, I think, Peter Beattie then chickened out of it, but, how else except through an emissions trading scheme can price signals be used to cut emissions?

IAN McFARLANE: Well there are ways to get companies to adopt new technologies and not only did Peter Beattie pull out of it but so did Alan Carpenter so you have Western Australia and Queensland opting out of a what is a scheme that, by their own analysis and ABARE's analysis, will see a doubling in electricity prices and petrol prices over the next 30 odd years.

LAURIE OAKES: But, how else do you give a price signal?

IAN McFARLANE: Well, you don't necessarily need to give a price signal, you can say that it is up to the companies to ensure they're employing the latest technology in terms of emission reduction. That technology at this stage is still being proven. We're combining with the companies and they will invest more than $1 billion with the Australian Government to ensure that we pilot these technologies of lower emissions, but you've got to have the technologies in place before you can lower emissions globally and that's the challenge.

LAURIE OAKES: You say you don't need a price signal, even the Australian Coal Association says we're going to need a price signal, to compliment your cleaner coal program.

IAN McFARLANE: The Australian Coal Association actually withdrew that statement on the basis that they were taken out of context and their statement on Friday said they do not support that position but can I give you an example. The aluminium industry continues to lower its own emissions both in terms of Co2 but general emissions through their striving for efficiency and also the triple bottom line to satisfy the community that they are an industry that is sustainable in the long term. They've done that in Australia without a price signal.

LAURIE OAKES: But you're one out on this, the Australian Business Round Table earlier this year said there needed to be a pricing signal built in and it needed to be done sooner rather than later. The Reserve Bank board member, Professor Warwick McGibon says a carbon price signal is needed for the uptake of all low emissions technologies, I mean, the evidence is overwhelming?

IAN McFARLANE: There's certainly views that say that but they're not overwhelming views and the reality is, you cannot lower emissions until you have the technology to do it. Once you have the technology to do then there is a question about adoption and I'm confident, based on the track record of industry to date, that they will adopt the technology once it's available. The challenge at the moment over the next 10 years is to prove up the technology that produces zero emission coal fired electricity, that allows us to expand the renewable energy base into things like rot rocks, to look at options in terms of how we produce electricity by lowering emissions in a whole range of ways and that really is where the challenge is at the moment. The carbon trading schemes that are in place at the moment, including the one under Kyoto, are absolute failures and we've seen the carbon price in Europe move all over the place while at the same time the countries participating are actually going to miss their targets by miles. In fact, some of them will exceed Australia's growth in emissions, bearing in mind that our target was a growth of 8% from 1990 and we're one of the few countries at the moment who are on target to reach that.

LAURIE OAKES: Minister, even your Environment Minister has said the Government will have to investigate price signals coming from energy to deal with emissions.

IAN McFARLANE: Well, all I can say Laurie is that at the moment what we as a Government are focusing on, is making sure that we have the technology to reduce emissions.

LAURIE OAKES: But you're one out in saying....

IAN McFARLANE: I'm not one out actually, I have a strong band of supporters and it is the Government's position that we proceed down the track to use technology and the innovation and inventiveness of Australians in co-operation with other countries like America and Japan and China et cetera through the AP6 Network.

LAURIE OAKES: And price signals are not necessary?

IAN McFARLANE: Well, at this stage they're not.

LAURIE OAKES: Treasurer, Peter Costello, has said that.

IAN McFARLANE: I'm not sure that's exactly what Peter said, but the reality is that at the moment we need to develop that technology. We're doing that the Government is spending half a billion dollars in that area alone and companies will spend far in excess of that.

Howard's minority support US global warming policy

2007-01-22T13:37:00.000-08:00

Disapproval of the Bush administration's performance is higher in Australia than the global average according to a poll by the BBC World Service.

The survey found 60 per cent of Australians now hold a mainly negative view of the US role in the world, compared with the average of 52 per cent. 26,381 people were questioned in 25 countries. 56 per cent disapproved of its stance on global warming.

54 per cent of Americans polled disapproved of how the United States was handling global warming.

President Bush expected to crumble on Kyoto today

2007-01-22T11:12:00.000-08:00

Britain's Observer newspaper reported on 15/1/07 that President Bush would announce a major shift in policy on "Cap & Trade" Carbon Credits markets during the State of the Union Address later today.

The Reason? Well, surveys reveal that George W. Bush is the most unpopular president at this point in his presidency since Nixon at the lowest point of his popularity.

65% of Americans believe his actions are wrong.

Whatever, wherever George goes, there goes John Howard, who continues to be the most popular prime minister in history, despite being as wrong as often as George. (The difference is in the bodybag count.)

Just another day...

2007-01-22T11:08:00.000-08:00

Climate Change news agency Point Carbon gives us three headlines for 22/01/07

• The European Commission plans to work with emerging emission trading
schemes in the US, though a direct link will not take place until 2013, an
official at the European Commission said.

• Lack of global leadership from both developed and developing countries
hampers efforts to negotiate an international regime to deal with climate
change after 2012, said Yvo de Boer, executive secretary of the UN
Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

• A group of major US manufacturers and power companies together with
environmental organisations issued a joint statement to US lawmakers on
Friday demanding mandatory greenhouse gas reductions in the US through a
cap-and-trade programme.

John Howard dangerously climate challenged

2007-01-21T23:03:00.000-08:00

Why do people doubt the PM’s belief in climate change? Surely this nice man wouldn’t risk the future of our children and grandchildren by playing political games with our nation’s response to global warming? No? You be the judge.

As a famous “dog whistler” (1/) John Howard crafted his latest disinformation campaign on climate change perfectly. “On 10th December, 2006 the PM announced the establishment of a joint government business Prime Ministerial Task Group on emissions trading.” It was not an “enquiry” that might make an honest attempt to deal with the issue objectively. But it sounded like one. And that’s all the clever bastard needed to get off the hook when the electorate went into high anxiety after Gore’s visit and Stern’s Report. “At last he’s doing something,” thought the white bread Aussies that he relies upon not to think too deeply about anything.

It was a “joint government business task force”. Now task forces don’t look for answer; those are supplied. They execute the plans of others. In this case climate sceptic Howard. His plan is to put off doing anything that might interrupt the Australian consumer binge long enough for climate change to be revealed as a hoax and all this weird weather confirmed as normal variation.
He presses all the right code word buttons for the old economy barons of industry to reassure them that Big Coal and Big Energy and Big Oil were still in control. EG. “As a world community we need to find new practical global solutions to climate change that include all major economies and emitters and that take account of national goals for economic prosperity, energy security and environmental sustainability.
Australia is blessed with abundant coal, gas and uranium reserves and significant renewable assets. In assessing Australia’s further contribution to reducing greenhouse gas emissions these advantages must be preserved."
Which means that he's as serious about kerbing greenhouse gases as Muslim militants in Badgdad are about making peace with each other.
"While there is no one single solution to the global climate change challenge we need to maintain the prosperity that our abundant fossil fuels have given us while at the same time exploring options for global climate change solutions and accelerating the development and deployment of low emissions and clean coal technologies."
These people have less than 6 months to do what 162 nations of the world have taken more than a decade to do: find solutions. Clearly impossible, but that's not the point. This 'task force' from a discredited nation (one of only 2 to refuse to ratify Kyoto) is going to also "advise on the nature and design of a workable global emissions trading system in which Australia would be able to participate". Do you get the joke? Australia is going to tell the world how to solve global warming, PLUS our task forcers will design the carbon trading system. He has such a hide, that man. We are - despite what our foreign minister may say - widely despised as ecovandals and wreckers at many levels overseas. (The Germans, the highest value tourists we attract, are scathing.)
But the best part of the joke is the people on the task force, hand-picked to guarantee the outcome.

Here we have two names listed in the release as members:

Mr Peter Coates, Executive Committee Member, Xstrata
Mr Tony Concannon, Managing Director, International Power

The full name of XStrata is XStrata Coal just as the full name of International Power is International Power. Why so coy about the word "Coal"? Because coal burning power stations spew 50% of the CO2 Austalian industry emits into the air.

Two other members are also big polluters:

Mr Chris Lynch, Executive Director, BHP Billiton
Mr John Marlay, Chief Executive Officer, Alumina Limited

The Group is chaired by Dr Peter Shergold, Secretary of the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet. The other members of the Task Group appears below. 2/

Bet I can guess what their recommendations will be. That we continue burning lots of coal and oil and selling it, and digging up uranium, and using it as well. (They can't make any other recommendation - it's in the terms of reference. See below.3/)

Mr Howard can do what he likes. He's the king. Want a finding in favour of nuclear power for Australia: appoint a telco exec to head the enquiry, but make sure he's a nuclear physicist, which people won't notice/

The PM, when he is finally dragged screaming out of the job, will leave us an enduring legacy of political craftsmanship and strategic mastery, unequalled in the history of the British parliamentary system.

I wonder if he'll live long enough to see the fruits of his cleverness visited on his children and their children.

.............

1. Dog-whistling in politics means to use coded language, which appears to mean one thing to the general population but which has a different or more specific meaning for a targeted subgroup of the audience, according to Wikipedia

2. Members of the Prime Minister's Task Group on Emissions Trading include:
Mr David Borthwick, Secretary, Department of the Environment and Heritage
Dr Ken Henry, Secretary, The Treasury
Mr Russell Higgins, Non-Executive Company Director Australian Pipeline Trust
Ms Margaret Jackson, Chairman, Qantas
Mr Michael L’Estrange, Secretary, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade
Mr Mark Paterson, Secretary, Department of Industry, Tourism and Resource
Mr John Stewart, Managing Director, National Australia Bank

3. Terms of Reference
Australia enjoys major competitive advantages through the possession of large reserves of fossil fuels and uranium. In assessing Australia’s further contribution to reducing greenhouse gas emissions, these advantages must be preserved.
Against this background the Task Group will be asked to advise on the nature and design of a workable global emissions trading system in which Australia would be able to participate. The Task Group will advise and report on additional steps that might be taken, in Australia, consistent with the goal of establishing such a system.

The Age of Uncertainty

2007-01-21T22:31:00.000-08:00

Letter writers in the Age reveal a sceptical reaction to the PM's climate change moves.

Excuse my scepticism

WHEN Prime Minister John Howard says "the truth is that I'm not that sceptical" on climate change (The Age, 14/11), how sceptical - or perhaps cynical - is that. It is noteworthy that the major mechanism proposed by the PM for implementing an approach to carbon trading is to establish a government-business group composed of the very interest groups that have opposed the introduction of carbon trading longest and loudest.
Bro Sheffield-Brotherton, Elsternwick

No worries

No matter what language is used, you can be secure in the knowledge that the Government has not brought in a single new line of legislation that would impact negatively on existing fossil fuel assets.
Mark Byrne, Aldgate, SA

The Costello factor

JOHN Howard's shift on carbon trading has less to do with getting onto the front foot with Labor in the climate change debate than keeping up with his perceived real opponent, Peter Costello, who the Sunday before, on ABC TV's Insiders program, made clear his personal support for an emissions trading system.
J. R. Hamilton, Brunswick East

Feds talk the talk, don't walk he walk

2007-01-21T22:23:00.000-08:00

The Australian Government finally waved the white flag on Kyoto. Australia will introduce a "Carbon Tax" and begin trading carbon credits in the next round of Kyoto.

Treasurer Peter Costello said what PM Howard couldn't bring himself to say: "As the world moves towards a carbon trading system, Australia obviously can't stand out against the rest of the world." What? Australia was happy to stand out against the world alongside the other climate sceptic George W. Bush. Less than a week after the collapse of President Bush's ascendency, Mr Costello was frank: "I think the ground is changing," he told ABC television on 12th November, 2006.

"From Australia's point of view if the world starts moving towards a carbon trading system, we can't be left out of that." What? The world has a carbon trading system. Only we're not in it.

……………

The Carbon Coalition sent Senator Ian Campbell (Environment Minister) the information below and the same day he announces an enquiry. (If Only it was that simple.) Late in November, 2006, the Australian Newspaper announced that the Government had a budget of $100,000 for a "project" which will bring together US and Australian researchers to work on tools to measure the amount of carbon stored. (We can tell the Minister from bitter experience that a hundred grand doesn't get much methodology testing.)

……………..

The Carbon Coalition was lucky enough to do a personal pesentation to Independent MP for the federal seat of New England, Tony Windsor during the lunch break at Christine Jones's National Carbon Forum in Novermber 2006. Tony was the only federal politician to attend. He was only there for half a day, but he's a fast learner. A week later he asked the Prime Minister a question in the House wwhich put soil carbon credits on the National agenda.

On the 27th November, 2006, Tony Windsor asked the following question:

"Prime Minister... given that the black soils in question have potential under appropriate land use management to be a natural carbon sink, could you include the farm sector in the carbon task force recently announced?"

The PM replied:

"... This joint task force is to look at the potential shape of a world emission trading system. Whilst the farm sector has an interest in that, I do not think the interest is as great as, say, the resources sector. I will consider it."

The request has not been agreed to.

The PM's oblique reference to the resources sector masks the fact that he is referring to the coal industry, whose members dominate the task force. This has two implications: 1. The findings of the enquiry are already decided. 2. The coal industry's desires will be incorporated in the Government's carbon strategy. (The coal industry is still arguing that climate change is a myth.) The ability of the coal industry to actually write government policy was reveals in an ABCTV 4Corners program. The transcript of the program is available in our Library under "Carbon Conspiracies: Greenhouse Mafia".

Americans agree Bush failing on Climate Change

2006-08-18T21:40:00.000-07:00

The majority of Americans say President Bush deserves criticism for his response to global warming. A Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll in August found 56% accusing Bush of doing too little to protect the environment, up from 41 percent in 2001. 70% said global warming is a serious environmental problem, 58 percent said the Bush administration is not doing enough to reduce it.

US Supreme Court could force Bush to regulate

2006-08-18T21:36:00.000-07:00

The Supreme Court will decide in October sessions whether the Bush administration must regulate carbon dioxide to combat global warming. The court will address whether the administration’s decision to rely on voluntary measures to combat climate change are legal under federal clean air laws. Twelve states have taken the Environmental Protection Agency to court to force it to do its statutory duty to regulate greenhouse gases from cars and to determine whether the EPA can regulate carbon dioxide from power plants.
As a presidential candidate in 2000, Bush expressed support for regulation of the greenhouse gas, but once elected withdrew support for the Kyoto Protocol.
The White House argues that mandatory reductions would harm the economy and does not consider carbon dioxide a pollutant.

Government just doesn't get it, says Fairfax press

2006-08-18T20:49:00.000-07:00

Someone has to pay the Greenhouse bill

Australia's Fairfax press empire is throwing its weight behind a sane approach to global warming. Two recent articles sound the call to arms. In The Age, Tim Colebatch wrote on July 18, 2006: "If the science is right (and each year seems to confirm it), then we and the world are facing changes that will reduce our ability to grow food, and could threaten the livelihoods of hundreds of millions of people worldwide.

"The Prime Minister's disappointing speech yesterday was more evidence that at the top of this Government they just don't get it. New technology is not an alternative to carbon taxes and emission trading schemes, it is their outcome. And the massive scale of the problem is not a reason to do less, but to do more.

"You can pour money into research and development of clean technologies and hope for breakthroughs. But let's be pragmatic. Unless the new clean technologies cost less than the old polluting ones, business will not take them up. That's why you need a tax or regulatory system that creates a financial incentive to do so. Then markets will work, and clean technologies will take over."

The next day, the Sydney Morning Herald's planning writer Elizabeth Farrelly wrote, "This is the mystery. Polls show we worry about climate change, but we vote from the hip pocket. John Howard, the polls tell us, makes us feel safe. But we blind ourselves to the yawning chasm between feeling safe and being safe."

Climate change has become a moral issue, she says. Maybe the moral issue. "In Australia, where governments quail before moral issues, the vacuum is filling with an unlikely alliance of business and philanthropic lobby groups. The Australian Business Roundtable on Climate Change argued in April that a 60 per cent cut in Australia's emissions is compatible with strong economic growth. Westpac's chief executive officer, David Morgan, known for lampooning emissions proposals as Mein Kampf and seeing carbon trading as a European conspiracy, notes that 'the next president of the United States … [is expected] to initiate urgent action on climate change'.
"In the US, where the writer Elizabeth Kolbert argues the need for an "environmental Churchill", an obstructionist Bush White House is nevertheless ringed by cities, states, Congress and the courts, plus a few inner-Republican colleagues, determined to make change. Last year, California's Governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger, launched a plan to cut state emissions by 80 per cent by 2050. "The debate is over," he said. "The science is in. The time to act is now." Right-wing evangelical leaders of 30 million people marched on Capitol Hill, urging leadership on climate change. Since then, 238 US mayors have pledged to "meet or beat" Kyoto; the House of Representatives Appropriations Committee has supported emissions caps and the Supreme Court has agreed to decide whether CO 2 regulation should be mandatory."

Someone has to pay the Greenhouse bill

2006-08-18T20:48:00.000-07:00

The attack on the Australian States's proposed Greenhouse Gas Abatement Scheme by the federal government and some industry groups ignores one critical fact: someone will have to pay for global warming. The Australian Financial Review - the voice of Australian business - disagrees with the attacks on greenhouse trading: "An international trade in emission rights (and other environmental services) is the way of the future... Australia, with its comparative advantage in the production of fossil fuels, has a very strong interest in the adoption by the global community of rational, market-based greenhouse strategies." And writing in BRW, Professor Paul Kerin, who teaches strategy at Melbourne Business School, said recently, "Howard says that, as Australia is (just) on track to meet its target, there is no need for market mechanisms. He is wrong: a market would ensure Australia meets its target at least cost, and would provide information to help decide whether we should overshoot our generous target. By comparison, the EU is already 5.5% below its 1990 emission level... Howard's claim that market trading would cost jobs by raising energy costs is also nonsense. The emission trading price is just a transfer between two emissions generators - overall, the industry's net cost is unchanged. High-cost polluters pay more (as they should) but low-cost players gain by reducing emissions and selling allowances.
"The Federal Government should join the states and territories to start a national carbon dioxide emissions market. The low trading prices that are likely to emerge, given our current overly generous emissions target, should persuade the Government to set a much lower emissions target, and then stand back and let market participants work out how to achieve it."

Gorbachev urges Howard to sign Kyoto now

2006-07-22T13:09:00.000-07:00

Mikhail Gorbachev, the Soviet president who dismantled the USSR and put an end to the Cold War with the USA, has urged Australia to sign the Kyoto Protocol on climate change and set targets to cut greenhouse gas emissions. He also called on Canberra to influence the United States to do more. Mr Gorbachev said the close relationship between Prime Minister John Howard and US President George W Bush gave Australia influence. He was in Australia in July 2006 to co-chair the global forum Earth Dialogues, where delegates from 11 nations discussed solutions to sustainable development, resource management, climate change, energy security and peace.
Mr Gorbachev is chairman of environmental lobby group Green Cross International. Under Kyoto 40 countries agreed to cut their emissions by 5.2% before 2012. Prime Minister John Howard turned down invitations to attend the forum, as did four other ministers.

Prime Minister "discourages" farmers on carbon

2006-07-17T15:22:00.000-07:00

Australia could become an 'energy superpower', selling coal and oil to an energy hungry world. Renewable energy is too expensive, so nuclear is likely to become mainstream in Australia. And carbon credits are not on the horizon for anyone in Australia. This is the conclusion from Mr Howard's speech to the Council for the Economic Development of Australia on 17 July, 2006.
"Clean coal" and nuclear are the future, he says, both playing to Australia's strengths. And Kyoto is not for signing, he says, because companies would leave Australia if it signed.
"This is a very discouraging message from our national leader," says Michael Kiely, Convenor of the Carbon Coalition.
"Surely Mr Howard has been badly advised by public servants. ABC 4Corners revealed how the coal industry had been given unusual free access to influence energy policy, even to the extent of writing the Department's Cabinet submissions," he says.
The Prime Minister's speech writers have made some glaring errors, says Mr Kiely. "Fancy having the Prime Minister make a statement such as that companies would leave Australia if we signed Kyoto. Where could they go? The rest of the world has signed, except the USA, and most observers believe it will sign when the new Administration is sworn in. Big companies here like Westpac, IAG and Origin Energy are asking for Kyoto."
The Carbon Coalition will be lobbying the Prime Minister to ask him to consider the opportunity for Australian farmers and the natural resource base if soil carbon credits can be traded. It will also be lobbying the Kyoto signatories to ask them to allow Australian farmers to trade on the European Climate Exchange.

Government policy against soil C credits

2006-07-15T15:32:00.000-07:00

A research paper called "National and International Policies Affecting the Demand for Soil Carbon Sequestration" reveals how US Government Policy stands in the way of Soil C Credits. The paper by Linda Young, Senior Research Scientist in the Department of Agricultural Economics and Economics, Montana State University, gives an overview of the various climate change policies currently in place or being discussed around the world. It discusses how these various policies affect the market for carbon trading and the demand for soil carbon sequestration.

She concludes: "U.S. markets for agricultural carbon sequestration services will likely be small unless there is a change in U.S. federal climate-change policy. The Bush administration's climate-change policy establishes emissions reductions at roughly the same pace that they have occurred over the past twenty years due to technological advances. Current U.S. policy is likely to keep demand for carbon credits weak in the United States and given that the United States cannot export carbon credits to entities in countries that have ratified the Kyoto Protocol, international demand for U.S. carbon credits will remain weak as well. As a result, there is little impetus to overcome the verification and measurement challenges the market would require for agricultural sequestration services. State programs are strengthening demand for carbon credits, but at the cost of complying with a myriad of requirements for business that vary by state.

"The development of the carbon market would be facilitated by the emergence of a seamless market with one set of rules for those demanding and supplying carbon credits. Market demand for agricultural sequestration services is likely to remain weak."

Australia's federal government policy follows US policy in lockstep.

See the full paper, with references, at: http://www.oznet.ksu.edu/ctec/CASMGSnewsletter/Dec03-2.htm

Senate pleads with Bush: "Be a leader. Cap and Trade!"

2006-07-06T21:09:00.000-07:00

CAPTION: The US Senate says President George W. Bush is not a visionary when it comes to his country's future in a carbon-conscious world.

.................

On 29 June, 40 US senators, including prominent Republican leaders, sent an urgent letter to President Bush. "Provide leadership on climate change," they said or the US could lose its competitive edge in a "carbon conscious" world. They want a mandatory cap and trade system whereby companies will have to buy carbon credits to offset the CO2 and other gases they are emitting into the atmosphere.

A year ago, the Senate passed a resolution calling for a mandatory federal programme to reverse global warming.
In other words, they wanted a cap and trade system. Nothing happened, so they are pleading with him again. Bush is a global warming skeptic. He has only recently agreed it is real. He doesn't accept its man made. (He career in the oil industry, one of the biggest polluters that would be forced to buy offsetting credits, has been offered as an explanation for his reluctance.) The Bush Administration's own scientists have proven climate change is linked to human influences.

The 40 Senators make an appeal on economic grounds: "It is important to keep US businesses competitive in a carbon-conscious global marketplace. Since we have not given them a clear signal to reduce global warming pollution, American businesses continue to make long-term capital investments that commit us to ever-increasing global warming emissions. Our inaction has discouraged the deployment of existing technologies and development of new technologies."
America will be a backwater, they warn, as "foreign companies are advancing innovative designs and patents in photovoltaics, auto technology, wind and efficient buildings".

"We urge you to provide leadership on this critical issue..."

Several bills are before Congress, including the Strong Economy & Climate Protection Act, which would cap emissions from large polluters. Republican Sen. John McCain says he will re-introduce the Climate Stewardship Act, which would cap greenhouse gas emissions. The President is becoming increasingly irrelevant to this process.

It will be revealing looking back from 2040 at the impact on America's subsequent history of the incumbency of this moderately intellectually-challenged President and his ideological fundamentalism. Will the history books list is as one of the major factors in the Decline and Fall of the American Empire.

Australian farmers are blocked from receiving full value for the carbon they sequester by the refusal of President Bush to mandate cap and trade and the way the Commonwealth Government in Australia takes its cues from the US.

CRC for Greenhouse Accounting closed

2006-07-06T21:05:00.000-07:00

The Cooperative Research Centre for Greenhouse Accounting, opened in 1999, has been closed. The Centre has not been re-funded. The Centre's website will be maintained. The CRC announced the closure with this statement: "Tasked with a vision to develop world-class capability in greenhouse accounting that would support Australia in meeting the greenhouse challenge on the land, the CRC has achieved that and much more Through the seven-year life of the CRC its members have produced about 400 first class journal papers. Of 15 Centre papers examined, six are in the top 1 per cent in their field for citations, and all are in the top 10 per cent. The citations will only get better in coming years. The Centre's website currently serves about 46,000 sessions a month and eCarbon News reaches nearly 2000 people. More than 30 PhD students have been an integral part of the CRC, and four CRC Members became Professors during the life of the CRC. The Centre has held more than 30 CRC workshops and briefings that have delivered our messages to at least a couple of thousand of people from all sectors of the community. Members attended and contributed to conferences, seminars and briefings all over the world - in this financial year alone members made an average of about four presentations a week. CRC for Greenhouse Accounting research has contributed to Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Guidelines and greenhouse gas inventory methods, to the development and implementation the New South Wales Greenhouse Gas Abatement Scheme, the National Carbon Accounting System, the proposed (Australian) National Emissions Trading Scheme, to international and national standards, to individual firms through consultancies, and to the development of local, state, federal and industry policy. The CRC is proud of its contribution to greenhouse science, and its members look forward to continuing their contributions through other avenues."

Congress rebuffs Bush 3 times on Climate

2006-06-10T00:44:00.000-07:00

America's alternative to the Kyoto Protocol, the Asia Pacific Climate Partnership (AP6), recently took a hit when the Bush Administration's request for funding to kick it off was rejected by the House of Representatives. Both Republicans and Democrats in Congress support more substantial measures to reduce greenhouse emissions along the lines of the Kyoto Protocol.
AP6 rejects mandatory cap and trade regimes, believing there is time to develop technology solutions to the climate crisis. President Bush promised $250m to fund AP6. But Congress holds the purse strings, and the House Appropriations Committee rejected it. This defeat marks the third time the Bush administration attempted and failed to obtain funding for its climate plan.
The Partnership - whose members include non-Kyoto countries America and Australia, plus signatories China, India, Japan and South Korea - rejects emission reduction targets. The US and Australia are the only members to commit funds so far.

More Republicans break ranks with Bush on Carbon

2006-05-12T14:12:00.000-07:00

The US House Appropriations Committee this week amended the 2007 Interior, Environment, and Related Agencies Appropriations bill to call on Congress to enact a mandatory greenhouse gas cap-and-trade system. The amendment was sponsored by Representative Norm Dicks (D-WA), was passed by voice vote on May 10, 2006. Committee Chair Jerry Lewis (R-CA) voiced support for the amendment and refused a request from some Republicans to hold a roll-call vote. Dicks called the amendment's passage a "first step." House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer (D-MD) told E&E Daily,"Global warming is now accepted by almost all."
The appropriations bill is now headed to the House floor, where the amendment could be removed before the bill is passed.
The language of the amendment is as follows:

"The Congress finds that (1) greenhouse gases accumulating in the atmosphere are causing average temperatures to rise at a rate outside the range of natural variability and are posing a substantial risk of rising sea-levels, altered patterns of atmospheric and oceanic circulation, and increased frequency and severity of floods and droughts; (2) there is a growing scientific consensus that human activity is a substantial cause of greenhouse gas accumulation in the atmosphere; and (3) mandatory steps will be required to slow or stop the growth of greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere.

"It is the sense of the Congress that there should be enacted a comprehensive and effective national program of mandatory, market-based limits and incentives on emissions of greenhouse gases that slow, stop, and reverse the growth of such emissions at a rate and in a manner that (1) will not significantly harm the United States economy ; and (2) will encourage comparable action by other nations that are major trading partners and key contributors to global emissions." (5/11/06)

On March 29, 2006 Representatives Tom Udall (D-NM) and Tom Petri (R-WI) introduced the "Keep America Competitive Global Warming Policy Act of 2006”. "The continuing absence of a meaningful, mandatory policy in the United States is a significant impediment to a global consensus to slow the growth of greenhouse gas emissions," they stated in a press release. "By introducing this bill, we are working to fill that void and encourage lawmakers to take the first step toward responding to the increasingly urgent signs of global warming."

The bill creates a mandatory cap for greenhouse gas emissions, set prospectively at emissions levels three years after the enactment of the legislation, rather than at today's levels. It also includes a "safety valve" that initally limits the price of an emission allowance to $25 per ton of carbon (equivalent to roughly $7 per ton of carbon dioxide) in order to prevent a price run-up. The price of the safety valve can increase beyond inflation only after the President and Secretary of State determine that developing countries are taking comparable actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Finally, the bill is revenue neutral to the Treasury and includes free allocation of allowances to promote the development and implementation of carbon-reducing technologies.

(Report from the AMerican Geological Institute)

What is it about Conservatives and Climate Change?

2006-05-05T18:13:00.000-07:00

163 countries have signed the Kyoto protocol on greenhouse gas emissions and two governments have refused: conservative governments in America and Australia. Now the new Canadian Conservative government wants to join them.
It has slashed spending on the country's climate change program. Canada's Liberal government had committed C$10 billion up to 2012 for climate change, but that has been cut to C$2 billion.
Although Canada has ratified the Kyoto Protocol and has a target to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to 6% below 1990 levels by 2012, it would like to skip out and join the Asia-Pacific Partnership on Clean Development and Climate (AP6). This arrangement was set up by the US to counter the damage done to its environmental credentials, both at home and abroad, when it refused to ratify Kyoto Protocol which it had helped to develop. Joining it in the "Coalition of the Unwilling" - countries unwilling to force companies emitting greenhouse gases to buy carbon credits - was one country: Australia. China, India, Japan, and South Korea are members but also signatories to the Kyoto Protocol. AP6 is a voluntary agreement that focuses on developing clean technologies but, unlike the Kyoto Protocol, does not impose binding targets for reducing emissions. AP6 represents more than 50% of world carbon emissions while Kyoto covers only 35%.
Canada's desire for joining AP6 was criticised by Prof. Gordon McBean of the Institute of Catastrophic Loss Reduction at the University of Western Ontario. Voluntary programmes mostly measure actions that companies would have taken anyway, he says. While Canada emits only 2% of world emissions, it is very vulnerable to climate change.
PM Stephen Harper said Conservative "ideologues" in his government were urging withdrawal from Kyoto, even though the majority of Canadians support the Protocol. Slashing the budget was the next best thing.

Britain urges global carbon trading as economic driver

2006-04-27T20:15:00.000-07:00

A global carbon trading market, including Australia and the US, is the best way to protect the environment while promoting economic growth, Britain's finance minister Gordon Brown told the UN on April 20, 2006. "The innovation of carbon trading offers us a way to reinforce economic and environmental objectives simultaneously," he said. "Carbon saving can be a way of making money and increasing returns on investment. It makes economic opportunities of a climate-friendly energy policy real and tangible."
Britain now wants to extend a European Union-wide carbon reduction scheme beyond 2012 and link it with other initiatives around the world, including in the United States, Australia, Canada and South Korea to "make it the driver for a deep, liquid and long-term carbon trading system."
The ultimate goal must be a global carbon market to make the environment a driver of future economic growth.

Australian State governments go it alone

2006-04-18T16:55:00.000-07:00

The States and territories of Australia have formed the "National Emissions Trading Taskforce" which "could in future link Australia to international carbon markets". The European Union has an emissions trading scheme. But Australia and the US refuse to put businesses at risk by imposing on them to real cost of their business activity.
SO the State and Territory Governments established a Taskforce to develop a multi-jurisdictional emissions trading scheme, in the absence of national leadership on greenhouse policy.
In September 2005 the Taskforce released The Background Paper for Stakeholder Consultation into Emissions Trading, submissions were invited by 11 November 2005.Access the Emissions Trading Submissions here
Soil carbon got a seat at the table, although Forests are accepted as sacrosanct, despite their failures. The Background Paper for the Stakeholder Consultation in September 2005 included the following reference to soil carbon:
"Substantial opportunities exist to offset emissions through managing carbon sinks in vegetation (other than Article 3.3 Forests) and in agriculture. For example, very large amounts of carbon could be stored in increased rangeland vegetation. If emissions trading provided an incentive for such management changes, there could be considerable additional benefits for biodiversity, soil and land management. Article 3.4 of the Kyoto Protocol allows for accounting and trading in these areass in the second and subsequent Kyoto committment periods."

Australia likely to get trading scheme by 2010

2006-04-18T13:36:00.000-07:00

2010 is the likely start date for an emissions trading scheme for Australia, reports
Environmental Finance online news. "Outlining progress by Australian states and territories on a possible trading regime, Inter-Jurisdictional Emissions Trading Group project manager Anthea Harris said start-up in 2010 would provide plenty of time for consultation 'on every last detail' before scheme commencement," says the report. Anthea Harris is Project Manager for the Inter-Jurisdictional Emissions Trading Group.Her comments were made at a climate conference in Adelaide in February.
The Government's position is that "there is no particular reason why we need to put the clamps on immediately for immediate short-term reductions," as Australia is set to meet its Kyoto targets. A green paper on a proposed trading scheme will be released at the end of June.
Australia's federal environment minister Ian Campbell said had an "open mind" on trading, but he was concerned Australia would be too small a market for an effective and efficient scheme to operate. He was leaving it to the states and territories to do the running on the issue.

Bush surrounded by changing political climate

2006-04-17T11:41:00.000-07:00

With his wagons in a circle, President Bush is under seige from a disparate array of lobbyists, including Evangelicals and the Union of Concerned Scientists, Greenpeace and DuPont, reports US News last week.
Bret Schulte reports that what is driving this push is "an emerging consensus on global warming, fed by a stream of recent scientific reports. If that consensus view is correct, the results could be devastating: rising oceans, ferocious hurricanes, and prolonged droughts."
Public concern has shot up markedly in the past two years, according to a poll released last month by the Opinion Research. Sen. Pete Domenici, the powerful chair of the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, last week hosted a high-level forum of scientists, businesses, and public-interest groups to discuss how to curb emissions without busting the economy. 160 organizations, individuals, and businesses submitted proposals tranging from caps on emissions to a market for large polluters to buy credits. US NEws reports that passage of a bill is unlikely this year. Nevertheless... legislation curbing greenhouse gas emissions is starting to feel like a case of when, not if."
86 evangelical leaders signed on to a major initiative that accepted the reality of human-related global warming and called for federal legislation to reduce carbon dioxide emissions. The movement fell short of a full endorsement by the National Association of Evangelicals, but the group's chief lobbyist in Washington, the Rev. Richard Cizik, is one of the initiative's biggest boosters. The former skeptic was swayed at a three-day climate-change conference in 2002. "I had a conversion [that was] characteristic of my conversion to Christ," he says. The Bible calls us to be good stewards of the Earth, he believes, but the crusade is largely driven by the potential human toll from disasters. "The group has begun running ads on CNN and the Fox News Channel. It's even turning up the pressure on one of the religious right's staunchest supporters, Sen. Sam Brownback, by airing television ads in Kansas urging him to take a tougher stand on the issue," reports USNews.
Meanwhile, investors are agitating for change. A group of institutional investors called Ceres is deploying $3 trillion in assets to sway businesses to cut emissions and plan for a future in which climate change or federal laws could hurt profit margins. "Companies are also feeling the pain of operating in a patchwork quilt of state emissions standards that have sprung up in the absence of federal legislation," says the report. But companies like DuPont, which has already saved billions by making its plants more energy efficient, will welcome mandatory restrictions which would give them a competitive edge. British Petroleum is trumpeting its cuts in emissions while promoting its slate of alternative energy solutions. And many multinationals are facing emissions restrictions in Europe, where the Kyoto Protocol is already working.
Back home in the USA, the Republican Party is splitting on the issue. Prominent Republican Tucker Eskew, a former deputy communications director for President Bush, is supervising a joint campaign with the Ad Council and the group Environmental Defense to educate the public on the global warming threat. 53 senators passed a nonbinding sense of the Senate resolution last summer, stating that, at the very least, climate change is real and mandatory restrictions on greenhouse gases are needed.

Religious Right coming to its senses

2006-04-17T11:09:00.000-07:00

"Christians Link Against Global Warming" says the Associated Press headline.
In February this year a group of 86 evangelical Christian leaders launched a campaign to pressure President Bush to change his stand against the Kyoto Protocol and realistic action against global warming.
"The leaders, who face opposition from some conservative evangelicals, want the U.S. government to pass legislation requiring the reduction of carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of fossil fuels," reports journalist Foster Klug.
Evangelicals are an important part of the Republican Party, and the Religious Right has combined with the enegry industry to capture American greenhouse policy.
The group's call for political action will be backed by advertisements in The New York Times and other publications, and by television and radio commercials.
The Rev. Leith Anderson, a former president of the National Association of Evangelicals, said the group's effort marked an important change in the evangelical community, where many are realizing that some issues, such as global warming, AIDS and other humanitarian crises, need strong government involvement. That notion runs counter to the views of certain conservatives.
The group's efforts have sparked criticism by other evangelicals, some of whom question the scientific evidence on global warming.
The vast majority of Christian fundamentalists in the US believe we are in the 'end times' as predicted in the Bible and that to resist global warming is to defy God's will. These people influence government policy more powerfully than scientific opinion.

The President admits it's getting hotter

2006-04-17T04:29:00.000-07:00

In answer to a journalist's question in March, President Bush admitted that global warming was a fact - a big leap forward.
when asked "WHAT IS YOUR PLAN?" THE PRESIDENT answered: "Good. We -- first of all, there is -- the globe is warming. The fundamental debate: Is it manmade or natural. Put that aside."
So he still doesn't believe that it was man made. But he's moving in the right direction.

Six former EPA bosses call for Bush climate change

2006-04-17T03:21:00.001-07:00

Six former heads of the Environmental Protection Agency accused the Bush administration of neglecting global warming and other environmental problems. Five of them were Republicans and only one is a Democrat.
Bill Ruckelshaus, EPA’s administrator from 1970 under President Nixon and again under President Reagan in the 1980s, says “I don’t think there’s a commitment in this administration.”
Russell Train followed Ruckelshaus to serve the Nixon and Ford administrations. He said slowing the growth of “greenhouse” gases isn’t enough. “We need leadership, and I don’t think we’re getting it. To sit back and just push it away and say we’ll deal with it sometime down the road is dishonest to the people and self-destructive.”
At an EPA-sponsored symposium for the agency’s 35th anniversary all agency heads during five Republican administrations, including the current one, criticized the Bush White House for a failure of leadership.

Pentagon predicts a Mad Max world for Australia

2006-04-17T03:21:00.000-07:00

Why is John Howard so careful to follow George Bush's lead on global warming? Because we'll need US Armed Forces to protect us from the millions of refugees displaced by environmental disasters arising from the 4°C increase in temperature.
In 2004, a leaked Pentagon report - under the title "An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and Its Implications for United Sates National Security" - revealed that Australia's borders would come under pressure as millions of starving people flee third world countries when crops fail.
"The Pentagon report paints a bleak picture of a humanity reverting to constant warfare over diminishing resources," says Clive Hamilton, EXecutive Director of the Australian Institute. "It canvasses the possibility of persistent conflict in Southeast
Asia, India and China including border wars, nuclear brinkmanship and civil unrest. Instability in the region may lead Japan to re-arm and the USA to strengthen border protection to hold back waves of ‘unwanted starving immigrants’.
"For Australia, the most startling claim of the Pentagon Report is that we, along with the United States, may find ourselves building ‘defensive fortresses’ around our country to protect our resources from desperate outsiders and aggressive states created by rapid and unpredictable climate change."
The Pentagon seems to be more certain of global warming than its Commander in Chief.

EXtracted from apper "Climate Change Policy in Australia: Isolating the Great Southern Land",National Institute for Environment Public Lecture,Manning Clark Centre, ANU 2004

Waiting on Bush to go

2006-04-17T03:04:00.000-07:00

The position taken by the US and Australian Governments in refusing to ratify the international Kyoto Agreement - which forced heavy emitters of greenhouse gases to buy carbon credits - is rapidly becoming uncomfortable for the two leaders who took the decision to stay out. In the US, business and political circles are merely biding the time for George Bush's term to end. The Congress is known to have legislation drafted and ready. Major corporations such as General Electric are counting on the change.
Westpac CEO David Morgan said GE's CEO Jeff Immelt told him "he was virtually certain that the first action of the next President of the United States, be it Republican or Democrat, would be to initiate urgent action on climate change." Mr Morgan said GE "is allocating billions of dollars worth of investment in the confidence of that development."

Welcome to Carbon Credit Government Watch

2006-04-16T22:16:00.000-07:00

The Commonwealth Government's is against trading in carbon credits, for the time being, according to a 2004 policy document called "Securing Australia’s Energy Future".

"Australia will not impose significant new economy-wide costs, such as emissions trading, in its greenhouse response at this stage," says the report. But it doesn't rule trading schemes out in future: " Such action is premature, in the absence of effective longer-term global action on climate change..."

Australia is holding out for a better deal, especially from fast-growing economies: "Expected economic growth in less developed countries, such as China and India, will result in emissions from these nations increasing substantially over the next 20 to 30 years. Total emissions from less developed countries, which have no quantitative targets under the Kyoto Protocol, are expected to soon overtake those from industrialised countries. It is clear that, to be effective, any global response must encompass the world’s major emitters."

If the international community plays ball, Australia will get a trading system: "Should such an effective global response be in prospect, the government will consider least-cost approaches to constraining emissions. This consideration would encompass the possible introduction of market-based measures (such as an emissions trading scheme) in the longer term, noting the potential for these to lead a better resource allocation and provide industry and individuals with the greatest flexibility in determining how best to respond."